Formula / logic
For decimal odds d, net odds b = d − 1. With win probability p and q = 1 − p, Kelly fraction f = (bp − q) / b. Negative fractions are clamped to zero for the displayed stake amounts.
Sports utilities
Apply the Kelly formula to decimal odds, bankroll and your own estimated win probability, with full, half and quarter Kelly amounts.
Enter the values and calculate to see the result.
For decimal odds d, net odds b = d − 1. With win probability p and q = 1 − p, Kelly fraction f = (bp − q) / b. Negative fractions are clamped to zero for the displayed stake amounts.
At decimal 2.00 with a 55% estimated win probability, raw Kelly is 10%. On a bankroll of 1,000, full Kelly is 100 and half Kelly is 50.